Why Is Bitcoin So Volatile

Mimesis Capital: Inside The Event Horizon, Report #15

Why Does Bitcoin’s Price Make Random, Sudden Downward Moves?

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A common knock on bitcoin is that it is “too volatile.”

There is no denying that bitcoin is a volatile asset. Its price action supports this conclusion on nearly all time frames (including minute, hour, daily, and yearly).

However, volatility isn’t necessarily a bad thing. In fact, volatility creates opportunity.

Over long time horizons (4+ years), bitcoin’s volatility has been mainly to the upside. Using this longer time horizon helps to eliminate the noise and focus on the signal.

Volatility and return can be assessed using something called the Sharpe ratio, which measures risk-adjusted return. The Sharpe ratio is the result of dividing the asset’s return by its risk/volatility over a 4-year HODL period.

Bitcoin’s Sharpe ratio has been higher than that of every other asset class throughout its entire existence. This is one of Wall Street’s favorite financial metrics, and it screams, “Buy bitcoin,” as it shows that the return of holding bitcoin has more than compensated holders for its historical level of downside volatility.